Sec yield could settle in the 6.75
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- ✓India’s 10-year Government Security yield could settle between 6.75 per cent and 7 per cent by March-end 2027, according to the State Bank of India.
- ✓Experts said the rupee might also get stronger as the Dollar Index weakens.
- ✓The bank noted that government measures helped manage the country's borrowing programme effectively.
Story at a Glance
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- MARKET
- Reported By
- Business Line
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- 3 Minute(s)
- Market Focus
- India Economy
India’s 10-year Government Security (G-Sec) yield could settle in the range of 6.75 per cent - 7 per cent by March-end 2027 and the rupee will also have an appreciating bias with Dollar Index weakening post US mid-term elections, according to State Bank of India’s economic research department (ERD).
The ERD, in its Ecowrap report, attributed two reasons for its 6.75 per cent - 7 per cent estimate for the 10-year G-Sec yield -- first, 200-225 basis points (bps) spread over US 4.75 per cent yield and second, historical analysis of the spread between Indian 10-year G-Sec and Repo rate reveals that the most plausible situation is a 100-bps spread between the two.
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